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Peering Around Corners: How to Replicate Trend Following Managed Futures
Our latest research paper explores the construction of a replication strategy that captures the broad exposures to equities, fixed income, commodities, and currencies that are present in the Société Générale Trend Index, while also identifying the underlying strategies employed by trend-following managed futures funds.Keep Reading
Defying the Bear’s Grasp: The Emotional Journey of Achieving Managed Futures Prosperity
In this blog post, we will explore the historical trends and performance of managed futures strategies using the Tech Crisis of 2000 to March 13, 2003 as a case study, and why it may be relevant for the current macro environment. We will also delve deeper into the emotional challenges that investors face during these periods.Keep Reading
From All-Weather to All-Terrain Investing for the Stormy Decade Ahead
The endowment portfolio characterized by 60 percent in stocks and 40 percent in bonds has thrived over the past four decades, but sustained high inflation has the potential to lower returns and increase volatility in the years ahead. This has prompted an interest in All-Weather portfolios, which combine stocks and bonds with assets like commodities that may respond more favourably to inflation.Keep Reading
Maximizing the Rebalancing Premium: Why Risk Parity portfolios are much greater than the sum of their parts
We examine the distribution of rebalancing premiums for a simple risk parity implementation (a version of the Permanent Portfolio) consisting of US stocks, gold and bonds from 1982 through May 2020. We then proceed to analyze historical and expected future rebalancing premia for a variety of global risk parity strategies ..Keep Reading
Are We Living in a Post-Factor World?
In some ways new investment concepts are like any new technology. The progenitors of any early technology typically earn extraordinary profits until competition heats up. Eventually competition drives down profit margins and the technology becomes commoditized. But investment technology has a special quality that arises from…Keep Reading
Novel Price Estimator Guaranteed to Produce Non-Negative Prices
The following report was produced by our research team and we felt it was worth sharing for discussion and comment. The recent price action in crude oil prompted us to spend a little effort thinking about how to manage around negative prices.Keep Reading
ReSolve Awarded HFM US Quant’s “Best Emerging CTA (12-36 months) and Best Managed Futures (’40 Act)” and Won the 2020 Refinitiv Lipper Fund AwardKeep Reading
Portfolio Optimization for Efficient Stock Portfolios: Applications and Directions
We compared risk-efficient portfolios with cap-weighted and equal-weighted portfolios of liquid large-cap stocks from 1960 through 2019. We also take steps to limit turnover and tax consequences by trading overlapping monthly portfolios with annual holding periods.Keep Reading
Risk Parity in the Time of COVID
Consistent with misapprehensions expressed during other recent market crises, there has been a chorus of alarmist speculation about the actions and state of risk-parity strategies during the current crash. We felt it would be helpful to revisit the concept of risk parity and take a snapshot of how a typical global risk parity strategy might have been expected to behave this year.Keep Reading