Defying the Bear’s Grasp: The Emotional Journey of Achieving Managed Futures Prosperity

In this blog post, we will explore the historical trends and performance of managed futures strategies using the Tech Crisis of 2000 to March 13, 2003 as a case study, and why it may be relevant for the current macro environment. We will also delve deeper into the emotional challenges that investors face during these periods.

Peering Around Corners: How to Replicate Trend Following Managed Futures

Our latest research paper explores the construction of a replication strategy that captures the broad exposures to equities, fixed income, commodities, and currencies that are present in the Société Générale Trend Index, while also identifying the underlying strategies employed by trend-following managed futures funds. 

From All-Weather to All-Terrain Investing for the Stormy Decade Ahead

The endowment portfolio characterized by 60 percent in stocks and 40 percent in bonds has thrived over the past four decades, but sustained high inflation has the potential to lower returns and increase volatility in the years ahead. This has prompted an interest in All-Weather portfolios, which combine stocks and bonds with assets like commodities that may respond more favourably to inflation.

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One Factor to Rule Them All

Over the past few years there has been a loud and persistent chorus of complaints from market participants about the fact that markets are behaving like simple ‘risk on, risk off’ discounting mechanisms, where almost all of the risk seems to be emanating from a very small number of sources.

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BOE Paper Signals Worrisome Outlook for Equities Post QE

This article is about how central banks have orchestrated a large overshoot in asset prices, and what this means for likely future returns to stocks and bonds in particular. We’ve written on this topic before, but this article approaches the problem from the point of view of central bank policy rather than analyzing valuation metrics.

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Path Dependency in Financial Planning: Retirement Edition

Imagine for a moment sitting at the kitchen table, steaming coffee in hand. The sun is streaming in the windows, bacon is popping in the pan, and Rover drops the paper at your feet. A brilliant Saturday morning by any measure, but today is extra special. Now you’re retired!

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Don’t Fear the (Alpha) Reaper

Let us preface this article by saying that we can’t for the life of us figure out why any investor cares about beating the market in the first place. To us, the whole concept of beating the market is a red herring. The only people who should be concerned with beating the market are investment managers themselves, because their compensation is directly tied to this specific objective.

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Dynamic Asset Allocation for Practitioners Part 4: Naive Risk Parity

Our last ‘prequel‘ article explored the creation of a policy portfolio that utilizes a framework of structural diversification to hedge against the four major market regimes – inflationary boom, deflationary boom, stagflation and deflationary bust. In the conclusion of the article we said we would investigate a variety of quantitative methods of risk diversification to complement the more theoretical construct of structural diversification. This next instalment introduces naive risk management methods.

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Structural Diversification for All Seasons

Now that we are hip deep in our Dynamic Asset Allocation for Practitioners series (Parts I, II and III), it’s become evident that we may have skipped over some fundamental concepts in our rush to explore the more juicy material. This next series of posts is intended to lay the groundwork for how we think about the broader asset allocation problem.

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About Us

ReSolve Asset Management Blog is an investment research forum, opinion pieces, and educational material from the team at ReSolve Asset Management. Our views are driven by evidence based finance, with a special focus on asset allocation, factors and smart beta, retirement and endowment strategies, and quantitative methods.

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