ReSolve 2017 March Madness Bracket Challenge:
Round 2 Update

We’re going to do a full analysis of your entries when the March Madness Tournament is over, but here are some early observations:

  • You are, as expected, still biased toward higher-seeded teams. Despite every team having an equal expected return in the tournament, you still got chalky.  But…
  • This year’s first round was also weirdly chalky (at least on day 1), with higher seeds winning the most games in 17 years. Which means…
  • Your biases may be getting more entrenched.

But there’s a chance that this is all about to change.  Why?

Because despite lacking any major early upsets, there are a handful of mid-seeded teams that made moves in the second round.  Specifically, Xavier, Wisconsin, and Michigan are all on high-point underdog runs, having disposed of #3 Florida State, #1 Villanova, and #2 Louisville respectively. (I excluded South Carolina, because despite their impressive underdog run, and eliminating #2 Duke, nobody in our challenge had them making it past this point.)

To wit, the top of our leaderboard is heavy on Xavier, with our leaders generally attributing 20-25% of their current points to that single team.

The other team with the potential to dramatically change things moving forward is Michigan.  While their run has been less valuable than Xavier’s and on-par with Wisconsin’s, quite a few brackets have the Wolverines in the Sweet 16 and beyond, meaning that if they make a deep run our leaderboard could get a major shakeup.

One last thing is worth a specific mention:

ReSolve’s beloved President, Mike Philbrick, is in dead last.

Feel free to point and laugh.

Name Final Rank
colonel717

49.22

mike.king

47.72

0761fabera

47.37

mackchiu

47.04

acmeinvest

46.59

DCSorley

46.48

bshibe

46.06

Dragana

45.96

jd1218

45.38

PatBolland

43.83

Mwkohler

43.71

Hinch

43.52

baylasdad

43.24

eharari

42.06

glaschowski

42.03

MrsBrick

41.89

Nick1

41.51

Oilerman44

41.48

bigdawg24

41.15

HungryHungryHippos

40.97

Sallese

40.91

csorley1

40.87

PunterJP

40.79

jwood3010

40.64

Fenders10

40.56

CMRAM

40.48

trentd

40.42

Pvolpe

39.97

MrDuMass

39.55

cotts23

39.42

RCMAlts

39.38

pkatevatis

39.16

mlederman

38.89

etfmike

38.86

ukbsktbll

38.22

Name Final Rank
KPeg15

38.19

MCCRINDELL

38.10

DavefromBarrie

37.88

teamcatherine

37.78

bviveiros

37.74

Purvinator

37.65

shawkins

37.44

Prewbee

37.00

les sherman

36.86

mySphere

36.86

Walkush

36.75

archer

36.69

Mnoack

36.63

CBurnell4

36.31

Crawling Chaos

35.85

geoff313

35.55

jcrich

35.31

CANESPEED

35.22

TheHotDogVendor

34.71

sjsivak

34.46

mattzerker

34.40

brennantim

33.92

Jgunter742

33.88

robbiep

32.64

scott.pountney

32.36

jmkeil

32.32

brianm317

32.08

snadkarni

30.90

cosggg

28.99

LDB

28.19

resolvetest

28.01

Benc100

27.72

Cozzsmack

21.41

DanAdams

19.80

Dead-Brick

19.80