Adaptive Asset Allocation

Tactical Strategies and The Anatomy of A Bear Market

The last few weeks have been some of the toughest in recent memory for investors, as we have observed an intense global market selloff that began in late February and continued into early March of 2020 (as of the writing of this report).

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Global Equity Momentum: A Craftsman’s Perspective – Executive Summary

Quantitative investment researchers often seek uniquely optimal parameterizations of their strategies amongst a broad “robust” region of parameter choices. However, this ignores a critically important feature of investing – Diversification. By diversifying across many equally legitimate parameter choices – an ensemble – investors may …

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Portfolio Optimization: A General Framework for Portfolio Choice

It is widely accepted among investment professionals that, while portfolio optimization has compelling theoretical merit, it is not useful in practice. Practitioners are concerned that optimization is an “error maximizing” ¹ process fraught with insurmountable estimation issues.

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Diversification – What Most Novice Investors Miss About Trend Following

The true benefit of trend following is only realized when investors take advantage of the extreme liquidity and diversity of global futures markets to trade a wide range of markets across all major asset categories. Our analysis shows that an investor would have achieved more than double the risk-adjusted performance of a median equity trend strategy by trading a diversified strategy across many diverse markets.

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Brexit: A Case Study in Diversification and Downside Protection

The ‘Leave’ outcome was mostly unexpected, as polls run earlier in the week had shown the ‘Remain’ camp to be confidently in control. As a result, stock markets around the world reacted predictably to heightened uncertainty and potential hidden risks on bank balance sheets …

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